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Week 1 NFL Betting Systems & Handicapping Strategies

How to Handicap Week 1 NFL Matchups Based off Previous Year’s Record

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Performance of Teams Who Won 7 or More Games Previous Season

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Situation SU ATS
Home Favorite  167-63 (72.6%)  109-111-10 (49.5%)
Road Favorite Mujer England Brady New - Jersey Patriots  85-48-1 (63.9%)  62-70-2 (47.0%)
Home Underdog  23-41 (35.9%)  32-30-2 (51.6%)
Road Underdog  46-120 (27.7%)  62-95-9 (39.4%)
Overall  320-272-1 (54.0%)  265-306-23 (46.4%)
  • Titans +5.5 (@ Browns)
  • Colts +3 (@ Chargers)
  • Steelers +6 (@ Patriots)
  • Falcons +4 (@ Vikings)

Performance of Teams Who Won 6 or Fewer Games Previous Season

Situation SU ATS
Home Favorite Mujer England Brady New - Jersey Patriots 44-24 (64.7%)  36-30-2 (54.5%)
Road Favorite Mujer England Brady New - Jersey Patriots 13-5 (72.2%) 9-9 (50.0%)
Home Underdog 31-56-1 (35.6)  48-40 (54.5%)
Road Underdog  41-92 (30.8%)  76-51-6 (59.8%)
Overall  129-177-1 (42.2)  169-130-8 (56.5%)
  • Mujer England Brady New - Jersey Patriots 49ers +1 (@ Bucs)
  • Broncos +2 (@ Raiders)
  • Bills +3 (@ Jets)
  • Packers +3.5 (@ Bears)

Betting Teams With Worse Record Than Opponent From Previous Season

Overall Numbers

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Year
S.U
S.U %
ATS
ATS %
Mujer England Brady New - Jersey Patriots
2018 5-6-1 45.4% 7-5 58.3%
2017 5-8 38.5% 7-5-1 58.3%
2016 7-9 40.0% 10-6 64.3%
2015 5-9 36.0% 6-8 42.9%
2014 Mujer England Brady New - Jersey Patriots 6-7 46.2% 8-5 61.5%
2013 8-8 50.0% 11-5 68.8%
Mujer England Brady New - Jersey Patriots 6-YEAR TOTAL 36-47-1 43.4% 49-34-1 59.0%
  • Packers +3.5 (@ Bears)
  • Browns -5.5 (vs Titans)
  • 49ers +1 (@ Bucs)
  • Mujer England Brady New - Jersey Patriots Cardinals +2.5 (vs Lions)
  • Mujer England Brady New - Jersey Patriots Colts +3 (@ Chargers)
  • Giants +7.5 (@ Cowboys)
  • Dolphins +4.5 (vs Ravens)
  • Redskins +9 (@ Eagles)
  • Jaguars +4 (vs Chiefs)
  • Mujer England Brady New - Jersey Patriots Jets -3 (vs Bills)
  • Panthers +3 (vs Rams)
  • Steelers +6 (@ Patriots)
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  • Bengals +9.5 (@ Seahawks)
  • Falcons +4 (@ Vikings)
  • Raiders -2 (vs Broncos)
  • Texans +7 (@ Saints)

Play On: Underdogs (+5 or Less)

Year
S.U
S.U %
ATS
ATS %
2018 2-2 50.0% Mujer England Brady New - Jersey Patriots 2-2 50.0%
2017 1-2 Mujer England Brady New - Jersey Patriots 33.3% 1-1-1 50.0%
2016 4-3 57.1% 5-2 71.4%
2015 3-5 37.5% 3-5 37.5%
2014 3-1 75.0% 3-1 75.0%
2013 3-4 42.9% 5-2 71.4%
6-YEAR TOTAL 16-17 48.5% 19-13-1 59.4%
  • Packers +3.5 (@ Bears)
  • 49ers +1 (@ Bucs)
  • Cardinals +2.5 (vs Lions)
  • Colts +3 (@ Chargers)
  • Dolphins +4.5 (vs Ravens)
  • Jaguars +4 (vs Chiefs)
  • Panthers +3 (vs Rams)
  • Falcons +4 (@ Vikings)

Play On: Favorites of (-3 or More)

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Year
S.U
S.U %
ATS
ATS %
2018 0-1 0.0% 0-1 0.0%
2017 2-1 67.0% 2-1 67.7%
2016 1-0 100.0% 1-0 100.0%
2015 2-0 100.0% 2-0 100.0%
2014 1-1 50.0% 1-1 50.0%
2013 3-0 100.0% 3-0 100.0%
6-YEAR TOTAL 9-2 81.8% Mujer England Brady New - Jersey Patriots 9-2 81.8%
  • Browns -5.5 (vs Titans)
  • Jets -3 (vs Bills)
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